Lessons: Since outbreak of coronavirus in China, I should buy online streaming/face mask stocks in US, to hedge the risk. I should purchase put to hedge the risk I under estimate the severeness of coronavirus and the fear of virus by human nature. I also suffer great losses from AMRN and Energy ETF, one common […]
Market Recap 2/14/2020
First recap after 2020 rebalance. AMRN and Energy ETF suffer from significant loss AMRN: TBD, looks like we just need to hold it for the long run. Energy ETF, strong believe that it will bounce back, given a huge gap between energy price and the performance of energy ETF. Gold and Silver, light position, for […]
2019 Recap and 2020 Outlook
2019 Market Performance: Most markets are ending with returns above, in some cases, two times above their long-term average. Driven by Very low market baseline @ 2018 year end The market overstated recession risk in 2019 which drag down the market a lot. Extraordinary broad monetary easing this year One year ago (2018 Dec.) that […]
Market Recap: DoubleLine Founder and CEO Jeffrey Gundlach
Original News: https://finance.yahoo.com/video/bond-king-doubleline-founder-ceo-163202324.html My Transcript: Review 2019 market, and the driver in 2020? All asset classes are strong, gold, stock, bond, bitcoin, but it came from a very low baseline, a deep dent in 2018 year end. In a broader context, market is turning around: 10 year yield is 2%, S&P/DJ at peak but other […]
Market Recap 11/25/2019
View The market will continue strong at least by end 2019. 2020, the late-cycle issue should begin matter. Rotation from Momentum to Value Position Adjustment Cut Silver Future Keep cutting gold/silver Keep cutting SDS Watch Value ETF
Market Recap 11/12/2019
Position Adjustments Gold/Silver: Short term: keep the position of gold and silver, may dent further. Long term, long both. Energy: Cheap, add 100% more position. Take another ETF: XLE Euro Banks: Add some exposure of Euro Banks Brazil: Keep OW, add 60% position Next Step: Gold/Silver may drop further, control the risk Monitor the performance […]
Market Recap 11/7/2019
News Pause a few recap sessions since I just came back from China. 🙂 SP500 taregt: 3200 unchanged, if we keep the current momentum, the time it takes could be sooner. My view on economy unchanged: no recession this year. Policy risk may increase next year, should prepare for that. Dalio says the world is […]
